The LA Chargers are on the road in Week 13 to take on the Las Vegas Raiders in a game that is a must-win for both AFC West teams. The Chargers essentially need four wins in their last six games to make the playoffs and with two tough opponents ahead, a win against the Raiders would be massive.
Meanwhile, the Raiders essentially need to win out to have any chance of making the playoffs this season. A loss to the Chargers would essentially put an end to the team's very slim playoff hopes.
This is a compelling matchup and is bound to be entertaining like most of the games between the two teams. We have already given our picks against the spread and over/under, now it is time to give out three prop bets that we feel really great about.
1. Josh Jacobs prop bet: OVER 91.5 rushing yards (-115)
The LA Chargers not only have the worst run defense this season but arguably have the worst run defense this century. No team since 2000 has allowed as many yards per carry on designed runs as the 2022 Chargers.
Josh Jacobs has been the most productive running back in the league this season and has been particularly on fire over the last two months. Jacobs leads the league in rushing yards and yards from scrimmage and is averaging 120 rushing yards per game since the start of October.
This might feel like too much chalk to take this line but with several pass-catchers injured the Raiders would be foolish to not lean heavily on Jacobs, especially considering they didn't do so in the first matchup against the Chargers and lost.
2. Austin Ekeler prop bet: OVER 6.5 receptions (+115)
The Chargers have one of the worst rushing offenses in the entire sport but Austin Ekeler has still been able to make an impact in the passing game. Ekeler is on pace for 123 receptions for 768 receiving yards. Keep in mind that he is a running back.
A lot of the Chargers' offense is predicated on Justin Herbert making quick reads in the passing game and going to his check-down option if nothing is open. That check-down option is almost always Ekeler, hence why he has hauled in so many receptions this season.
Both Corey Linsley and Trey Pipkins have missed practice this week and it seems more likely than not that they won't play on Sunday. With that being the case, the Chargers will likely rely more on the quick passing game, giving Ekeler plenty of chances to catch the ball in stride out of the backfield.
Plus, statistically, this is a very low number to put Ekeler's total at. Ekeler has hauled in seven or more receptions in eight of his 11 games this season, including five of his last six.
3. Parlayed prop bet: Austin Ekeler and Josh Jacobs anytime TD scorer (+170)
This is the first time that we are giving out a parlayed prop bet as one of our best bets for a game but as you can see, the theme of these prop bets are all on the running backs. Josh Jacobs and Austin Ekeler are both favorites to find the endzone in this game and with all the things previously mentioned, it feels safe to package them together to get plus odds.
Nobody has scored more touchdowns since the start of the 2021 season than Ekeler, who has racked up 32 touchdowns in 28 games in that timeframe.
Jacobs has not found the endzone as often and he actually does not have a single receiving touchdown this year. That being said, when he has a big game he often gets rewarded by finding the endzone, sometimes more than once.
Jacobs has rushed for over 75 yards six times this season and has scored a touchdown in five of those six games. In four of those games, he has scored multiple touchdowns. If we expect Jacobs to have a big day rushing the ball we should expect him to also find the endzone.
Betting odds update periodically and are subject to change after time of publication.