Best prop bets for Sunday Night Football Week 11: Chargers vs Chiefs
By Jason Reed
The LA Chargers host the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football in Week 11. While this is not in must-win territory yet for the Chargers, a win for the Bolts would be massive as it would give them much better playoff odds and keep them in the thick of the AFC playoff picture.
This is an intriguing matchup as the Chargers should be getting a lot of help from returning players in this game while the Chiefs are going to be without weapons on offense. For the first time all season, the Chargers may have the advantage as far as injuries go.
We have already given our prediction both against the spread and the over/under but with the line moving so much this week, it might be hard to confidently pick a side in this game. Don't worry if so, because there are some great prop bets that you can target to potentially make some money.
1. Justin Herbert prop bet: OVER 278.5 passing yards (-113)
Justin Herbert has not had the kind of season that fans were expecting but that could all change in Week 11 against the Chiefs. Not only does Herbert show up when the lights shine their brightest, but the star quarterback is getting serious reinforcements for this game.
Both Mike Williams and Keenan Allen said that they personally expect to play against the Chiefs. Williams will most likely suit up while Allen said it will be up to the coaching staff. Herbert has had less than four total quarters of action with Williams and Allen and two of those was with a busted rib. And in that game, he passed for 293 yards.
2. Justin Herbert prop bet: OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns (-156)
All the same reasons why you should be betting on his passing yard total is the same reason why you should take the over on Herbert's passing touchdowns. On top of having his weapons back, the Chargers have been a bad running team this season and are coming up against a solid run defense.
However, Kansas City has a bad secondary, allowing the eighth-most passing yards and the most passing touchdowns this season. Quarterbacks average over two passing touchdowns a game against the Chiefs, so the numbers are in Herbert's favor.
3. Anytime touchdown scorer prop: Kadarius Toney (+165) and Mike Williams (+155)
The two best anytime touchdown scorer props to take in this game are Kadarius Toney and Mike Williams. The Chiefs are without both Mecole Hardman and Juju Smith-Schuster, so Toney is filling in as the WR1 after scoring a touchdown last week against the Jaguars.
The Chargers have their own resident Travis Kelce stopper in Derwin James, so I would favor picking Toney to get a key touch in the red zone that could potentially score. As far as the Chargers go, Mike Williams feels like a no-brainer.
Williams has scored a touchdown in three of his last four games against the Chiefs. In his career, Williams has found the endzone six times in 10 games against Kansas City.
If you really wanted to have fun with it, you could parlay Toney and Williams to both score a touchdown in this game at +563 odds.