Best prop bets for Chargers vs Dolphins Week 14 Sunday Night Football
By Jason Reed
The LA Chargers will be on Sunday Night Football for the third time in five weeks as the team's home game against the Miami Dolphins was flexed. This is an intriguing matchup between two young star quarterbacks with a team in the Chargers who desperately need to win to keep the playoff hopes alive.
We have already given our picks against the spread and over/under for this matchup but there is plenty more to bet on in this game. It is always nice to have a piece of the game in a primetime game and there are several props to target in this one.
Odds periodically update and are subject to change after the publication of this article. However, you can still get a decent idea of what kind of prop bets you should be targeting in this game.
1. Justin Herbert prop bet: OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns (-175)
The first prop bet you should be targeting is Justin Herbert's over on his passing touchdowns. There is a decent amount of juice on this line but it is not as much as it should be, quite frankly. This is good enough to take straight-up with the juice or you could also try to parlay it with a passing yards total, if your book allows.
Herbert finishing with two passing touchdowns in this game is at close to a lock as it can get. First of all, the Miami Dolphins have one of the worst defenses in the league. Miami ranks 21st in passing yards allowed and 24th in passing touchdowns allowed. They also have not played many great quarterbacks in recent weeks.
The Dolphins have played Brock Purdy, Kyle Allen, Jacoby Brissett, Justin Fields, Jared Goff and Kenny Pickett in the last six weeks. Herbert is obviously far better than all of those quarterbacks and history is also on his side. Mike Williams is likely going to play in this game and Herbert currently has a nine-game streak with 2+ passing touchdowns when both Allen and Williams play.
2. Jeff Wilson Jr. prop bet: OVER 40.5 rushing yards (-115)
Both Jeff Wilson Jr. and Raheem Mostert can be targeted with their rushing totals against a Chargers defense that allows the most rushing yards per carry this season. One of the two is a near-guarantee to hit the over on their rushing total with it being possible that both players hit the over.
I would favor Wilson simply because his line is lower than Mostert. All you need is Wilson to hit 41 rushing yards against the Chargers for this bet to cash. The Chargers are allowing 171.2 rushing yards per game since their bye week.
3. LA Chargers prop bet: OVER 24.5 points (-105)
This is going to be a high-scoring game with the Miami Dolphins having one of the hardest offenses to stop in the league coming up against one of the worst defenses in the LA Chargers. It should not be hard for the Dolphins to score points and score them quickly against the Chargers.
So why bet the Chargers team over? The team is likely going to keep it close with the Dolphins and with as bad as the offense has looked under Joe Lombardi, there is reason to be optimistic in this team scoring 25 or more points.
As mentioned, the Dolphins have one of the worst defenses in the league as well. The Chargers are also getting healthier on offense at the right time. Zion Johnson and Corey Linsley should be returning to the offensive line with Mike Williams' addition to the team being so massive for what the offense can do.
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It might take a late touchdown in garbage time to get the backdoor cover but the Chargers should be able to score 25 or more points in this game.