5. Chargers' magic number of 27
Finally, I'm sure many Charger fans have seen the popular stat out there by now that Justin Herbert is 22-6 when his defense allows less than 27 points in a game. Even if we expand that out to "27 points or less allowed" because a few teams finished exactly on 27 points, Justin is 23-12 in that scenario.
27 is the magic number, in all likelihood, for the Jets to beat the Chargers.
Can they get to that?
I think one of the biggest reasons the Chargers should win this game is because the two offenses just do not compare. The Jets offense is currently:
- 30th in yards per game (273.3)
- 26th in points per game (18.0)
- 31st in passing yards per game (164.3)
- 32nd in red zone scoring percentage (26.32%)
- 25th in yards per play (4.8)
- 32nd in third-down success rate (22.99%)
I respect this team's potential a lot. I fear them as an opponent. But the facts are the facts. This Jets offense is one of the worst in the league.
There is no reason whatsoever for this team to put up 20+ points on our defense, as shaky as it's been.
Will I be surprised if it happens? Absolutely not because time and time again our defense has shot itself in the foot. But I don't believe we'll face many offenses as bad as this Jets one is for the rest of the season. The Chargers absolutely have to take advantage of this.