2. Justin Herbert sets the record for most passing touchdowns through two seasons
Justin Herbert finished the 2020 season with 31 passing touchdowns in 15 games. He set the record not only for the most passing touchdowns in a rookie season but the most overall touchdowns, as he found the endzone five times with his legs as well.
Herbert has quite the ways to go if he is going to set the mark for the most passing touchdowns through two seasons. Dan Marino's second season was one of the greatest in NFL history as he threw 48 touchdowns to set the all-time mark through two years.
Luckily, Herbert had 11 more passing touchdowns in his rookie season than Marino did, so he has less ground to cover in order to set the record. Herbert needs to throw 37 touchdowns to tie the record, 38 to beat the record.
Predicting a second-year quarterback to flirt with 40 touchdowns is quite the bold prediction but all the signs are there for Herbert to reach that number. First of all, we know that Herbert has a cannon of an arm and the Chargers are a legitimate threat to score at any position in the field.
Not only that, but Herbert has plenty of red-zone weapons to target as well. He can target Austin Ekeler from the backfield, the six-foot-eight Donald Parham as a tight end, Mike Williams as a jump-ball threat, or Keenan Allen as he toasts a corner on the line of scrimmage.
The Chargers do not have a great outlook when it comes to red-zone rushing. Austin Ekeler is great but he is not exceptional in short-yardage and goal-line situations. The rest of the running back room is not that exciting in that regard, either.
For that reason, we could see Herbert get more short passing touchdowns than a quarterback with a better short-yardage back would get.
Regardless, all Herbert has to do is average 2.24 passing touchdowns per game and he will set the record. He averaged 2.07 passing touchdowns per game last season, and that is with some drops on would-be touchdowns.