The LA Chargers are on the road in Week 5 as the team takes on the Cleveland Browns in a rematch from last year's instant classic in Week 5. The Bolts won that game 47-42 at home and as great as it was to watch, Chargers fans are hoping for a less stressful game.
These two teams do look different than they did a year ago. Under center for Cleveland this year is Jacoby Brissett, who will be starting until Deshaun Watson comes back. As for the Chargers, the run defense has been rebuilt and is hoping to not have the same kind of showing as last season.
We have already given our picks both against the spread and the over/under and with the game right around the corner, it is now time to give out some winning prop bets for the contest.
1. Chargers prop bet: OVER 23.5 team points (-126)
Somehow this line has gone down as it was originally at 24.5 points earlier in the week. The LA Chargers are going to be without Keenan Allen, which seems to scare most bettors, but the team has learned how to operate without him in the offense.
Most importantly, all of the trends are pointing to this being an easy over on the Chargers' team total. Cleveland has allowed an average of 23.8 points per game against the quarterback assortment of Baker Mayfield, Joe Flacco, Mitch Trubisky and Marcus Mariota. Two of those quarterbacks aren't even starters anymore and the other two are probably the two worst starters in the league.
It is hard to imagine a Justin Herbert-led offense scoring fewer points than the Browns are allowing on average, especially considering the Bolts have scored 24 or more points in three of four games. The only exception was Herbert's first game back from his rib injury.
2. Jacoby Brissett prop bet: UNDER 210.5 passing yards (-113)
Cleveland is going to be pounding the rock in this game and even if the Chargers get out to a big lead the Browns are not going to deviate from the game plan. They see a perceived weakness in the Chargers, who also happen to have a good secondary full of ball hawks.
Kevin Stefanski is a good coach and he knows what part of the defense the Browns should be challenging in this game. For that reason, Brissett's under passing total seems most likely. Brissett is averaging 207.5 passing yards per game this season.
3. Donald Parham any time touchdown scorer (+550)
This actually was at +850 earlier in the week and fell all the way to +550, which should tell you something. Donald Parham is returning from injury and playing his first game of the season with the Chargers. Parham has great chemistry with Justin Herbert, particularly in the red zone.
Gerald Everett potentially not playing in the game (or being limited if he does play) is going to give Parham more chances to find the endzone. Keenan Allen not playing also helps Parham's chances, as Allen is another red-zone outlet typically.
Parham scored a touchdown against the Browns last season and with the extra factors, +550 is really good value. He is almost destined to score at least one touchdown in each of the next three games, so if you take it each game until it hits you will make a profit.
The Parham pick is obviously less likely, but if you were to parlay all three of these Chargers-Browns props on FanDuel Sportsbook you would get +1712 (17/1) odds. A $20 bet would pay out $342.40.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.