This seems like another close game for the Chargers. The Patriots’ strength on offense comes from the running game which is one of the Chargers’ weaknesses.
Last week the Chargers allowed the Bills to run for 172 yards and a touchdown. Devin Singletary and Zack Moss have been mediocre this season and they torched the Chargers defense as they both averaged more than 6.5 yards per carry.
With the Patriots backfield-by-committee, they will be rotating in fresh legs throughout the game. Cam Newton has been unstoppable at the goal line this year and will be an issue for the Chargers defense.
Statistically, the Chargers have a good matchup. The Patriots’ defensive numbers aren’t anything too great as they rank in the middle of the league in most major defensive stats while ranking near the bottom in sacks. However, they have been able to contain offenses led by Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray and Josh Allen.
Justin Herbert has been putting up incredible numbers and has a chance to break numerous rookie records. The return of Austin Ekeler was huge for Herbert as he recorded 11 receptions in his first game back from a hamstring injury.
A lot of the Chargers’ success on offense comes from Keenan Allen. If they can get him more involved this week, the offense should look much better against the Patriots. If they can get out to an early lead like they have multiple times this season, it will be hard for the Patriots to come back due to Newton’s passing struggles.
Joey Bosa played incredibly against the Bills but the defense still allowed 27 points. Even though Chris Harris Jr. made his return, Melvin Ingram, Uchenna Nwosu and Casey Hayward all missed the game against the Bills.
If the Chargers are able to contain Cam Newton and limit him from creating big plays with his legs and force him to make plays through the air they can win this game. The Chargers pick up their fourth win of the year and their first win against the Patriots since 2008.