3. The LA Chargers fail to cover the spread
Charger fans who only care about winning do not care if the LA Chargers cover some arbitrary spread. However, there will be a lot of people gambling on this game, including Charger fans, and if I had to pick a side I would pick the New York Jets’ side.
I do think the Chargers win this game but I think it will be far closer than it should be. Yes, I still think it will be a close game despite Herbert’s effeciency and the Chargers picking off Flacco twice.
The playcalling on this team is too passive and the defense is not good enough to bet a high line in favor of the Chargers. The Bolts will take a big lead, start playing “not to lose” and the Jets will slowly creep back into it.
And before we know it, there will be a breaking point in the game that decides the outcome.
Fortunately, the way I see this playing out in my head is the Chargers being up 10-13 points late in the fourth quarter. The Jets will score a touchdown to make it a one-possesion game with less than two minutes remaining and will attempt the onside kick.
I would not be surprised if the Chargers messed that up but they should recover to kneel out the clock. However, that means that the team would beat a bad Jets team by only 3-6 points, again, because of coaching.
According to The Action Network, the line for this game is either 9.5 or 10 points in favor of the Chargers, depending on the book.
With how this team is coached I cannot justify ever picking the Chargers to win by more than 10 points. I personally would take the Jets’ side of this.