1. Patrick Mahomes is not great against the LA Chargers
Before diving into the numbers, let’s be fair. Patrick Mahomes is still 3-1 against the LA Chargers as a starter and if you are a Chiefs fan reading this: I get it. The Chiefs have dominated the Chargers. That is not the point.
Outside of his debut game in the 2018 season, which is when he took the entire world by storm (with some help from an insane game by Tyreek Hill), Mahomes has not really been that good against the Chargers.
Let’s look at the numbers of Mahomes’ last three starts against the Chargers:
- 24-34, 243 yards, 2 touchdowns, 0 interceptions
- 19-32, 182 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception
- 16-25, 174 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception
Those are obviously not bad numbers but they definitely are not the massive numbers that Mahomes puts up against other teams. The Chargers have a nice mixture of an elite edge rush and a secondary group that keeps Mahomes at bay.
Recently, that has still not been enough to have a winning record against the Chiefs, but the Chargers have been relatively close in recent matchups. The Chiefs have not beaten the Chargers by more than 10 over the last two years.
Don’t get me wrong, I do not expect the Chargers to be Mahomes’ kryptonite in any way, but down the line, with the right pieces on the Chargers and fewer weapons on the Chiefs, Mahomes absolutely is beatable.
That gets into our second positive…