Odds these Chargers players make the Pro-Bowl after 11 games

Chargers candidate No. 1: Keenan Allen, wide receiver

Keenan Allen began the 2019 season on a historic statistical pace – through three games, Allen was averaging almost over 9 catches, 134.7 yards, and a touchdown each game. That would have given him incredible numbers over the season, including the NFL record for most yards in a season at over 2,150.

However, Allen quickly cooled off and has not had a game over 100 receiving yards since Week 3. Still, as of the end of Week 11, Allen is still third among AFC wide receivers in receiving yards and second in receptions. Such play is certainly deserving of Pro-Bowl consideration.

Unfortunately, Allen faces the most significant obstacles to being added to the Pro-Bowl of any player on this list.

The first obstacle that he faces is recency bias. Voters tend to vote based on recent performances, even though the Pro-Bowl honor is based on whole-season production. While Allen has been good recently, his best statistics come from the first three weeks of play.

Secondly, and perhaps more importantly, he will be fighting name recognition. While the players above him in receiving yards are relatively unheralded players, such as Courtland Sutton and John Brown, Allen needs to overcome decent seasons by players with much greater fanfare, such as Deandre Hopkins, Julian Edelman, and even Odell Beckham Jr.

Due to these two factors, Allen is unlikely to make the Pro Bowl despite another solid year.

Odds to make the team: 15 percent.

Chargers candidate No. 2: Derek Watt, fullback

Derek Watt is the leader of the NFL in special teams tackles, yet he is only listed as a fullback on the Pro Bowl ballot.

While this certainly could be a disadvantage for a high-performing special teams player, Watt has also made an impact in the offensive department.

Beyond his responsibilities as a lead blocker, the Chargers have also utilized him as a runner in short-yardage situations, and Watt has delivered time after time in that department as well.

Derek Watt with the first down mic drop ? @DerekWatt34 pic.twitter.com/i7Im1m9sIX

— The Checkdown (@thecheckdown) November 8, 2019

Overall, Watt has been decent as a blocker, excellent as a short-yardage runner, and fantastic as a special teams player. That gives him a good chance to make the Pro-Bowl roster.

Odds to make the team: 60 percent