Dec 31, 2013; El Paso, TX, USA; UCLA Bruins guard Xavier Su

San Diego Chargers’ Draft Looming


Excited yet?

It’s a rhetorical question. Of course you are. There has been a ton of speculation about who will join the Bolts at pick 25 or if they will trade the pick.  Conventional wisdom leans toward trading down rather than up and a lot has been written about the 25th pick being an ideal spot for a trade given the Browns at 26 are certainly in the QB derby.

But what would be the best course of action?

It will not surprise anyone to say that the Chargers will take “the best athlete available” given one of the positions of need. Umm, well, duh!

Okay, so that’s not exactly a Nostradamus prediction. Another way to say it though, might describe Tom Telesco and company’s draft strategy and reveal at least an idea of some of the players the Chargers may have lined up in their scopes. The way to build a successful team is to get “difference makers (DMs).”

While that again may be obvious on the face, and not all that different from “the best athlete available” strategy, let’s look closer.

Corner Back- The Chargers should not take CB just because it is a position of need. After a few DMs there exists a good argument that the next tier is not separated by much. Take a DM if the value is there based on team research. Who are the DMs? Although you have to trust our research, the clear upper tier seems to include Justin Gilbert, Kyle Fuller, and Darqueze Dennard. The others have issues. Odds of a CB? 5/2

Nose Tackle- After watching film, I’m not sold on Louis Nix, but he would not be a terrible choice if the Bolts feel he is their guy. He has the size you need to anchor a 3-4 defense and the Chargers certainly have more scouts and more ability to research than I do. With the exception of Ra’Shede Hageman, most of the DTs are undersized for a 3-4, and Hageman has some issues. I’d be surprised if we took him in the first round. Odds of a DT? 3-1

Wide Receiver- At the beginning of the review process more than a month ago, I didn’t see this as much of an option with our first pick, especially with players like Jordan Mathews, Cody Latimer, and Donte Moncrief available later in the draft. Things have changed. If a DM is there at 25, a strong consideration has to be made.  Brandin Cooks is a play maker. It’s hard not to like him. Odds of a WR? 4-1

Outside Linebacker- Football is won and lost rushing the quarterback (and/or protecting him). If for some inexplicable reason Anthony Barr drops as some have suggested, it seems like a must pick. But that seems, at best, a long shot. Jermiah Attaochu and Ryan Shazier seem like round 2 picks to me and Dee Ford isn’t an every down player from most projections, but I could see that pick. That leaves Kyle Van Noy as an outside possibility at 25. The Bolts seem to really like him and he definitely won’t last until our second round pick, so he could be the choice.  Odds of an OLB? 3-1

Offensive Line- At either guard or left tackle, an excellent case can be made that if an elite athlete is available, either could be a pick at 25. There are several hovering in the late first round who could add to the character of our O-line. Xavier Su’a-Filo, Cyrus Kouandjio, and Morgan Moses could put the Bolt offensive line in the 49ers category and that is very appealing. A month ago, I was against this idea, but now it might actually be the direction they go should a clear cut DM not be available. Odds of a OL? 4-1

Obviously, there are other positions of need but these seem most likely. A lot of us are anxious to see what happens on Thursday. I can’t wait.

 

Tags: Featured NFL Draft Popular San Diego Chargers

  • 619chargers4life

    Nice write up .

  • Julien Bélair

    Good post. I like Cooks. He is a productive player with arguably the best attitude of this draft class. If he is there we should grab him. He would be a legendary baller in our system.

  • BlueBoltFan

    Great post! Gets me even more excited about the draft!

  • Sergio Quintero

    I have a feeling that the odds of Fuller being there at 25 are dropping fast, I actually think Barr has a better shot of being there.

    If Barr is there you take him, there is no reasonable reason a player of his talent should be there. Agree on Nix the 2013 tape is not very good, he’s actually trying to play with finesse even though he’s 330lbs, the attitude is wrong for a NT. Justin Ellis in the 4th or Zack Kerr in the 5th would make me perfectly happy.

    So the most likely cluster is Verrett, Cooks, Lee, Sua-Filo, Ford, I would take Cooks, then Verrett followed by Ford, the NFL is won and lost in throwing the ball, and defending the pass.

    • Marcel West-Bailey

      Eric Williams has us taking Nix at 25. It was an interesting draft because the people making the picks actually write for the team opposed to people going off what a team needs. They had Barr going early and Gilbert actually falling to Green Bay at 21. Fuller went to the Bengals. I think Lee went to the Eagles and I stopped watching before Verrett, Sua-Filo or Ford got taken. I suspect Ford would go to the Saints and Verrett to San Fran.

      • Sergio Quintero

        I think Williams most of the times comes off as a guy with zero connection to the front office, every suggestion he gives never seem to happen, Acee & Gehlken do seem to get some info from the chargers themselves. The boys at the UT threw out Mitchell, and the chargers pursued, they knew about Conner, while Williams had nothing of that.

        Williams has suggested multiple free agents, none visited or was seriously pursued, I think the guy gave his opinion that if he were Telesco he would take Nix, but I haven’t seen any true I have talked to the F.O. from the guy.

        • Marcel West-Bailey

          Hahaha. Someone stole you chat handle. That is ridiculous. You should change it to something insulting so people won’t…like “Bob with a little penis” but that’s beside the point. True. If Fuller is on the board I’m getting ready for my favorite corner in the draft. Little in the League, JV, I think is going to be a Charger. If Barr isn’t there…I’m really thinking JV.

          • Sergio Quintero

            I actually think Dennard is dropping and Fuller & Roby are ahead of him, if the chargers actually would play more press I like the Dennard pick, but as Reyes has learned our good buddy Pagano is not a change the scheme to fit the player kind of DC.

          • Marcel West-Bailey

            Really? SC had him going in the top 10 this morning. I think it’s crazy but those people probably know what their team needs. But Fuller has been climbing up boards for quite a while and I’m feeling certain he isn’t going to be there at 25.

          • Sergio Quintero

            CB’s get scooped quickly in the draft, I’m getting the feeling the only CB available at 25 with a first round grade will be Verrett, I’m pushing hard for Cooks, has zero history of injury and the production is heavy, and the fastest WR in the combine.

            Somebody has to drop if everyone is snapping CB’s, so there will be WR’s & pass rushers.

          • Marcel West-Bailey

            I have actually been thinking about the idea of taking a WR in the first and piling on defense later and if Lee or Cooks are there I’m really starting to like that idea.

          • Sergio Quintero

            Ideal offensive situation just think:
            Allen and Floyd outside and Cooks inside, and you can play 2 TE’s with Gates & Green, how many mismatches can that cause, and how effective would your play action pass game be??

          • Marcel West-Bailey

            We might have the highest ranked offense in the league if that happens.

      • Sergio Quintero

        Somebody is stealing my UT chat handle what gives??, is nothing sacred, I guess I annoyed some guy.

        • http://boltbeat.com/ Ernie Padaon

          what!?!?!? why do people do that!?!?!?

          • Sergio Quintero

            I wasn’t even on my computer yesterday after 11 am, and there was 3 questions from Sergio from Tijuana on Acee’s chat, and stuff I wouldn’t ask, like USD baseball.

          • Gunnar Martin

            Bwahahahah that’s hilarious

          • Sergio Quintero

            You know there is nothing I’m more interested in then USD baseball, I have never been USD in my life.

          • Gunnar Martin

            You know, I’d take this as a complement if I were you. It’s not every day someone steals your username. Or maybe there’s just another Sergio from Tijuana.

          • Sergio Quintero

            I chuckled to be honest, but I must admit there aren’t many USD grads in Tijuana, I do have the ability to piss off people, so I take it as a compliment.

      • http://www.BoltBeat.com/ Peter Thompson

        Sucks that Cincy needs A CB and picks right before us.

        • Marcel West-Bailey

          Right?! I already don’t like Cinci and now they’re screwing more up for us. Who knows, maybe they take Roby.

    • http://www.BoltBeat.com/ Peter Thompson

      They actually have Fuller going as early as Tennessee.

      • Sergio Quintero

        Mayock has him going 15 to the Steelers, and 3 corners are already gone by pick 15, not a nice scenario for the chargers

  • Sergio Quintero

    Daniel Jeremiah connecting the chargers and Jason Verrett, as I mentioned before Telesco has a deep history of drafting small corners:

    http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-network-path-to-the-draft/0ap2000000347224/Jeremiah-Steelers-could-take-Kyle-Fuller-at-No-15

  • Cooper

    I have ESPN and NFL Network. I’ll be in class when the Darft starts and I don’t know which station to record. It’s tough for me because I can’t stand Todd McShay for ESPN or Charles Davis of NFL Network. These two make watching the draft miserable. Any suggestions???

    • 21serg

      Espn don’t know about but they make it more entertaining to me

    • Marcel West-Bailey

      You can always watch it online in class. I used to watch baseball games all the time in Calculus

  • 21serg

    There was a time when fuller roby maybe even dennard would all be at 25 but now not even roby might be there Verrett might be the smallest but keep in mind if he was 5’11 or 6’0 without a doubt would be the best corner taken in the Draft I’ll be happy with Verrett

    • Sergio Quintero

      The 40′ vertical puts me at peace with Verrett, I’m generally can the guy play in my view about the draft, if you concern yourself with measurables you start drafting like Al Davis, and then its a mess.

      • 21serg

        True verrett at corner with dreads and jahleel addae with his dreads lol would be dope

  • davacho

    where are you getting these odds?

    • Michael Norton

      My projections. Just trying to indicate what I think the chances of each position are at slot 25.

    • Michael Norton

      My projections only. Just trying to point out my opinion of the chances at each position.

      • davacho

        oh ok – gotcha… thought there was a system or 3rd party churning them out. : )

  • Anthony95

    Good post. Should add category for trading out of the first round all together which is the way I think SD goes. If a QB isn’t selected by in the top 8 picks then SD will be in an excellent position to trade up as these teams would be trying to leap ahead of Cleveland’s #26 pick. There is a few others teams we can trade back with as well that would want non-QBs like, SF, Was, Atl, Buf, NYG, Dal, Det

    Don’t see Hou, Was, Oak as the value wouldn’t be there for SD (wouldn’t pick up a draft pick)

    If SF have two options – get pick 30 and 100 or get 56, 61, and 100

    Best for us would be to trade out of RD 1 giving up pick 25 with the following team for picks:
    Atl – 37, 68
    TB 38, 69
    Jac – 39, 70
    Min – 40, 72
    Buf – 41, 73
    NYG – 43, 74, 152 (we pick up two picks)
    Det – 45, 64, 111 (we pick up two picks)
    Dal – 47, 78, 119 (we pick up two picks)
    Stl – 44, 75

    Any of those scenarios would be excellent but getting two extra picks is awfully tempting or go with Jac, Min, Buf as the value is excellent for those teams.

    • Michael Norton

      Agreed. I actually think that trading down is the best option for us as long no one eye-popping falls to us.

    • Sergio Quintero

      The most rumored is the Jags, in particular if Bridgewater is available, the chargers would trade 25 for 39 & 70.