Oct 20, 2013; Jacksonville, FL, USA; A Jacksonville Jaguars fan wears a bag over his head after their game against the San Diego Chargers at EverBank Field. The San Diego Chargers defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-6. Mandatory Credit: Phil Sears-USA TODAY Sports

The Numbers Game: The Bad from Chargers at Jaguars


The Good:  Chargers at Jaguars

 

The Chargers won the game, but it wasn’t always pretty. Seven bad stats from Jacksonville that Chargers fans should be worried about:

The Bad:


1. Nick Novak: 1-1 20 yard FG, 1 tackle

Same thing as last week. This is not a problem I have with Novak, but the redzone offense still needs work. He also had to make a tackle on special teams again. Ugh. Memories of Kaeding’s injury are still dancing in my head.

 
2. Chad Henne: 23-36, 318 yards, 1 INT

The Chargers are still 26th in the NFL in passing yards allowed at 273.1. They didn’t help that average on Sunday by allowing Henne, a guy who probably wouldn’t even be a backup on most rosters, to throw for 318 yards.

 
3. Mike Brown: 5 catches, 120 yards

Mike Brown was torching the secondary. It seemed like he was open along the sidelines on every play. A good amount of his yards were after the catch, which highlights a huge issue for the Chargers again, tackling. The secondary already plays 20 yards off the receivers, so I expect them to be ready to tackle when the catch is made in front of them. Apparently that is still too much to ask.

 
4. Antonio Gates: 6 catches, 31 yards, 0 TD

At least Gates was getting redzone looks this week. The Chargers still need to find a way to get him more involved with deeper routes. Gates has averaged under 8 yards per catch over the past 3 games (Sunday he averaged 5.2 ypc). He is still able to beat linebackers with his speed and get downfield, but didn’t run many intermediate routes. Gates also caught a shovel pass from Rivers behind the line on 3rd & 4 inside the Jaguars 10. To me, that is just not the way to utilize Gates, especially in the redzone.

 
5. Ladarius Green: 2 catches, 40 yards

Ladarius Green absolutely burned linebackers for both the catches he made. He has the speed to do it on every single play. He could also be used in the redzone more because Rivers loves his tall receivers. Green needs to get involved one way or another.

 
6. Chargers Redzone Offense: 2-4

Similar to number 1. The Chargers still haven’t solved their redzone woes. They are at 50% (touchdown rate) for the season after posting 50% in Jacksonville. We are really missing Malcom Floyd here, and still can’t figure out how to utilize Ladarius Green or Antonio Gates near the end zone. If they can, this number will go up. If not, we may be in for a season of short field goals.

 
XP. Coaching: 8 penalties for 61 yards, 1 lost TO

This is nitpicky, especially since the Chargers were forced to play without their top two left tackles. But, the team was called for numerous false start and holding penalties. Had they not been playing the Jaguars, those penalties could have been devastating. I also tend to forget that Mike McCoy is also a rookie. But, rookie or not, he is a head coach in the NFL and he should know the challenge rules.

 
Let me know what you thought about the game in the poll, in the comments, or on twitter @kingofcahill

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What was the worst stat from the Jaguars game?

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Tags: San Diego Chargers Statistics

  • Alex Pitrofsky

    The answer is definetly Red Zone offense. It’s becoming a problem

    • Conor Cahill

      Its the difference between potential blow outs and nail biters.

      • http://www.BoltBeat.com/ Peter Thompson

        I agree, and said pretty much the same thing in a piece I wrote. Personally, I see them trying to get too cute in thr red zone. They should just let Mathews run it. They haven’t trusted him, so they keep trying to figure out other ways. Running Mathews inside the 10 = more successful red zone percentages right now. They shouldn’t keep fighting it.

  • davacho

    IMHO:

    1- whether he’s kicking a 40 yarder or 20 harder, i’ll take the points over the TO… 1 FG for the game isn’t bad at all. although in general, i’m with you that our RZ offense has struggled… and ST needs to get after it!

    2- context is everything in looking at numbers- chargers have been in the lead for most games and that forces teams to throw- we allow employ a bend but don’t break defense to stave off the big play TD and the opposing team’s QB racks up “inflated” yardage- i’m not worried about those numbers as much as i am the W-L record.

    3- AGREED!

    4- 6 catches when we’re up and nursing the lead with a run game ain’t too shabby… in general i’d agree that getting gates in a nice seam route, floating the ball over the LB head would be epic, but moving the chains is job #1. plus, gates has dropped a fair amount of passes this season (curious about the stats on that one)- perhaps mgmt is keeping him leashed a bit?

    5- AGREED!

    6- will take TDs to FGs, but FGs to TOs!

    XP- AGREED!

    good article- need to string some wins and get that team culture right… winning.

    • Conor Cahill

      I agree that TD > FG > TO. But, 50% TD efficiency in the redzone is good for 22nd in the league. If we can boost that to even 60%, we will start blowing teams out instead of winning (or losing) close games.

      Also, agreed that timing is everything with Gates, especially when we are able to ride Mathews to end the game. But even early in the game, he was consistently targeted on short, over the middle routes. Gates has caught 76.3% of the passes thrown his way this year. For comparison, the average of the top 5 receivers (in terms of yardage) this season is a 60.2% catch rate of passes thrown their way. Jimmy Graham catches 62.7% of passes thrown at him. This obviously doesn’t separate drop rate, but the Chargers only have 6 official drops this season. That is good for 4th best in the league.

      • davacho

        sorry i didn’t specify, but i was more curious as to gate’s career drop rate- dropping balls at all just seems uncharacteristic of him?

        • Conor Cahill

          Doesn’t look like he’s dropping an abnormal amount of passes. To me, he looks like hes in the best shape since 2010 so I’m not sure why he isn’t getting as many opportunities.

          2013: 3 drops, 5.5% drop rate (through 7 games)
          2012: 3 drop, 3.8%
          2011: 0 drops
          2010: 4 drops, 6.2%
          2009: 7 drops, 6.1%
          2008: 3 drops, 3.3%

          Heres where I got it if you want to check it out: http://www.sportingcharts.com/nfl/stats/drops/2013/

          • davacho

            perfect- thanks!

          • Tazzster

            I think Gates draws a lot of double teams. For example in the Jags game where Green caught the past for 30 yards they had Gates and Green on the right side of the line. Gate was running a seam route and Green was running a flag route. The safety slid over to double Gates and left Green in single coverage with a linebacker.

            A well designed play, but it does not work if Gates doesn’t pull that double team. I am sure teams key on him, because they know how good he is at getting open.

  • joerockt

    Henne could have thrown for 500+ yards for all I care. Did he throw any TD’s? Let me check…nope, no TD’s. In fact, no TD’s by anyone in the past 11 quarters. Yes, there is room for improvement, but the D has been stunning.

    I have to agree on the whole RZ issue. Some of the plays called are a bit questionable, like the Gates shovel pass. Hopefully with the run game kicking into gear, we see a lot more play action. PA got us many points during the LT years.

    • Conor Cahill

      7 of those quarters came against the Jaguars (22nd in passing offense) and Raiders (32nd in passing offense). Heck, even the Colts are only 22nd in passing offense. What happens when we play RGIII (7th) and Peyton Manning (1st)? I guess time will tell.

  • boltingindiego

    about 1/4 of henne yards came on the garbage time last drive. Plus we stopped them on downs that drive so 0 points on bend but don’t break drive in garbage time

    • Conor Cahill

      Its Chad Henne. Its the Jaguars. I try to be optimistic, but 0-7 doesn’t lie.

      • boltingindiego

        we also shut down luck to 0 td’s while the donkeys couldn’t stop stop him. We are improving with what we have at our disposal on D.

        • Conor Cahill

          Well, it hard to argue with that considering we don’t have much more than Weddle and Liuget at our disposal.
          But jut for arguments sake, we also let Terrell Pryor have a career best game against us for a Loss, and the Raiders have the 32nd ranked offense in the NFL. The Chargers defense suffers from inconsistency.

  • Tazzster

    Question about the redzone offense… Most teams have a fade route or a back shoulder throw they will throw to their wide reciever. I keep thinking this is something they could do with Keenan Allen. He appears to have great athletic ability. I would not have any problem throwing a pass to him and expecting him to beat the opposing cornerback for the catch.

    Anyone know why we don’t have this type of play in our arsenal?

    Or just run the toss sweep to #21… oh wait…

    • Conor Cahill

      I agree. I see the Chargers running their same normal plays in the redzone. Crosses, posts, ins, slants, etc., but no fades. Allen is great at catching balls with contact or when he is covered. Another option there is Ladarius Green for added height.

  • Gunnar Martin

    You know your secondary is really struggling when a guy you’ve never heard of before gets 120 yards receiving. Smh…

  • Jon Marine

    What you’re trying to do is find SOMETHING, ANYTHING negative in this game. While I agree that our redzone offense, Gates, and Green are all problems to focus on, but for now, don’t be a buzzkill. We dominated this game, and Green will get his time. Gates is a future HOF, and everyone has their off days. The redzone offense will improve over time, don’t worry.

    • Conor Cahill

      There are still plenty of things to work on. As car as being a buzzkill, it’s the JAGUARS. That should be humbling enough. They’ve been crushed by 7 teams already and will be crushed by 9 more. Check out my good stats from the game if your feeling optimistic :)

  • BruisingChargers

    Hi Conor, enjoy your articles/analysis and perspective on the Bolts. Agreed that we have a lot of things to work on/room for improvement but none of the NFL pundits gave us a chance in hell this year. Considering all of the new changes we have made and all the injuries we have had…I like what I see so far IE: we finally have a COACH albeit he has made a few mistakes like throwing the challenge flag and seeing Rivers kicking it was funny as hell. Thing I like most this year is that we have a coach that is fiery in the locker-room after games, seems to have established a nice-tough work ethic/player accountability, and, most importantly……holds himself accountable when he makes mistakes (something Norv never did.) We may/may not make the play-offs this year but, I like where we are headed………….

    • Conor Cahill

      Definitely. Under Norv the chargers were soft and complacent. He created an environment that almost made it seem like they were okay with or expected to lose. (That’s obviously a fan perspective, but it honestly wouldn’t surprise me f at least a few players felt that way.) Mike McCoy and Philip Rivers are a great leadership team. They are both competitive and dedicated. I loved the McCoy hire and I do think he is leading the team in the right direction. Much quicker than I anticipated too. Moments like his botched challenge just remind me that this team is still growing and even McCoy still has things to learn and experience to gain.

      • BruisingChargers

        I also like the fact that McCoy stated before the season even started that Rivers will have a GREAT YEAR and have over a 70% completion rate. Seems like that came to fruition right? I really like what TT has done so far ala drafting DJ Fluker and Keenan Allen (jury is still out on Teo.) Wouldn’t it be really cool if this beat-up, oft-injured, group of misfits actually made some noise in the play-offs? Nice to dream………………..

  • C.Steele

    I think our Red Zone woes can be attributed to our spread formations. Passing Windows are smaller in the red zone and the short routes the team is so fond of running now are easier to defend. Therefore, we need to trust that Matthews is not going to lay the rock on the carpet and pound the ball. Strength and run blocking is suppose to be our lines strong suit anyway. Power Running is definitely Matthew’s calling card. Mix in some play actions and I do believe you have the recipe for improved Red Zone performance! #GoBolts!