12. Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders
Derek Carr is a fine quarterback. It is fun to make fun of Carr and the Raiders if you are a Chargers fan but at the end of the day, he is a perfectly average quarterback. He is someone who can put up numbers with a good receiving corps (like he did last season) but is never going to be someone to elevate the rest of the team.
He is easily the worst quarterback in the AFC West and that is going to hold the Raiders back this year (among other issues). That will become more apparent in Week 1 against the Chargers.
11. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys
Bill Simmons has perhaps the best Dak Prescott take on the internet: he is simply Kirk Cousins with better PR. While I do think Dak is better than Cousins, the difference is not nearly as large as people think it is. Dak just plays on America's Team and gets the praise for that.
While Cousins certainly is not fighting for weapons, Dak has consistently had one of the better situations in the league with a great offensive line, great weapons and a great running game. You could argue that trio is the worst it has been in the last 3-4 years, which could bring Dak down to earth.
10. Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals
The biggest issue with Kyler Murray is consistency. There are times when he looks like a bonafide elite quarterback who is an MVP candidate and there are times when he looks like Daniel Jones. It might not ever get that bad, but you get the point.
If Kyler can just remain consistent then the sky is the limit for him and the Cardinals. However, staying consistent is hard to do when you are a smaller, mobile quarterback that is taking hits like Kyler is.
9. Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos
Russell Wilson simply has not been the same guy over the last year and a half. Like Murray (but not to the same extent), Wilson was at his best when he utilized his athleticism. Wilson has not been doing as much of that as he has gotten older, turning into a true pocket passer.
While he is still really good, he is not an elite, top-tier quarterback if he is just being a pocket passer. Perhaps the change of scenery will catapult Wilson back into the elite QB tier, or perhaps it will be more of the same and he will cement himself here.