3. Austin Ekeler over 58.5 rushing yards (-115)
Baltimore is actually pretty good in limiting the run game thus far this season, which seemingly makes this a bad pick. The Ravens allow the seventh-fewest rushing yards per game and the Chargers are now without right guard Oday Aboushi.
While the Ravens' numbers are impressive, they have only played one team with running attack like the Chargers. While they did decent against Detroit's running backs, the first good running team that Baltimore was forced to play was the Indianapolis Colts.
Jonathan Taylor carried the ball 13 times for 53 yards and added three receptions for 116 yards. The Ravens were not respecting Carson Wentz as they will be with Justin Herbert and Ekeler is going to have a better game running the ball as a result.
Ekeler has been extremely efficient this season and quite frankly, this line is a bit low. The fewest rushing yards that Ekeler has recorded in a game thus far this season is 54. If the floor if 54 then a line at 58.5 feels like free money.
The dual-threat back is averaging an astounding 5.2 yards per carry. I would expect more of the same against Baltimore as they drop back and respect Herbert and all it will take is 12 or so carries for Ekeler to get over that 58.5 number.
Ekeler won't just get over that number, he is primed for a big game. Expect 150+ yards from scrimmage with at least one touchdown by Ekeler in Week 6.