5. Patrick Mahomes
Carr was a controversial choice of mine, I'm sure. But Mahomeboy is certainly a controversial choice after losing a top-five receiver in Tyreek Hill this offseason.
While it would make sense that Mahomes regresses without Hill, now having to throw to the likes of JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling instead, it's just difficult for me to envision a scenario where the Chiefs aren't in the playoff picture.
Mahomes plays a lot sloppier than many people realize (last year's AFC Championship Game would demonstrate that), but he's still got one of the best head coaches/play callers in the game in Andy Reid and one of the best tight ends in NFL history in Travis Kelce. I'm also not so sure it's time to start the "aging Travis Kelce" narrative either.
Until I see the utter collapse and fall of the Chiefs empire for myself, I have to assume Mahomes, Reid, and Kelce still find a way to be right smack in the middle of the playoff hunt at the very least, if not the Super Bowl hunt where we're used to seeing them.
Mahomes puts up MVP numbers every year he plays. Even with the Cheetah now in Miami where he's doomed to come back on balls thrown by Tua for all eternity, speed, size, and offensive scheme remain in Kansas City for Pat to utilize.
I take Justin Herbert over Mahomes (another not-so-popular opinion outside of Charger Nation), but Mahomes is still a top-three quarterback in this league until further notice. I have to think he's in the MVP conversation yet again.