The LA Chargers’ looming decision on Mike Williams
When Jones is traded to his new team, he’ll cost $15 million in 2021 and $11 million in 2022. Based on having an outdated receiver contract in addition to what Atlanta would pick up on their end, Jones is relatively inexpensive.
Realistically, let’s also talk about what a new Mike Williams extension would cost. At the low end, Williams would probably cost $10 or 11 million. If he balls out in 2021 with quality production, he could go as high as $15-16 M.
The way I’d put it is this: would you rather have three years of Jones, or three years of a Williams extension for nearly the same cost? Personally, I’d choose the former. Williams’ injury risk is probably as high as Jones based on his play style alone. Apart from that, Jones is a top five receiver. Williams would be lucky to be considered top 35.
If we’re talking about making the best of Justin Herbert‘s Super Bowl window on a rookie contract, Williams and Jones costing about the same amount of money is a market inefficiency to exploit. I’m a fan of Williams, but it’s hard to convince myself to prefer him over Jones long term.