2. Justin Herbert will benefit from the year-two bump
The year-two bump is a real thing. In the previous article where I talked about Justin Herbert’s MVP chances, I broke down the fact that Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson both won the MVP in their second seasons while Kyler Murray was a legitimate MVP candidate halfway through the 2020 season.
Herbert will continue that trend and with Tua Tagovailoa having question marks and Joe Burrow still being on a really bad Bengals team coming off an injury, he will be the young quarterback that takes that step in year two.
Justin Herbert was still learning and adapting to the game on the fly and he is going to naturally become more familiar with NFL defenses and the speed of the professional game.
Heck, Patrick Mahomes said that he did not learn to read NFL defenses until halfway through his second season as a starter and Kyler Murray touted the transformation he underwent in his second season as a starter.
It is a real thing and if Justin Herbert was this good in his rookie season just imagine how much better he could be in year two. It sounds crazy to say, but 4,500 yards and 35 passing touchdowns are probably the floor of his second season. Just imagine what his ceiling will be.