4. Throw on the defense, but be careful
Letting Justin Herbert “cook” and lead a pass happy offense has been a dream of many Chargers fans all season long. Have we gotten it? Kinda, sometimes.
The Chargers have had games where they’ve thrown it 40 or 50 times but also still try to establish the run. More times than not this year, the run doesn’t get established and it’s a weird mixture.
On a cold day at Arrowhead with a struggling offensive line, I just don’t see the running game going anywhere barring an extraordinary Austin Ekeler effort.
Let Herbert sling it in this one to get the win, but also be careful. The Chiefs’ defense has been really good at forcing turnovers. Kansas City is fifth in the league with a +7 differential. The Steve Spangnuolo led defense is only second in the league to Pittsburgh with 16 interceptions.
Kansas City is much better as a defensive unit than it was a few years ago. They’ve gone from a bottom five pass defense in 2018 to around a top 15 one now. They’re still relatively manageable to handle if you don’t turn the football over though.