4. Go for it on 4th and short in field goal range
Michael Badgley has proved himself to be wholly unreliable. Maybe he finds his groove again next year. Not sure. But you’re really taking what seems like 50/50 odds with him on every field goal attempt from 40+.
Anthony Lynn has been rightfully hesitant to trust him from that distance and I think he should continue that in this game. If it’s anything less than 4th and 5 around the 20 or 30 yard line, it really makes sense to go for it. A failed fourth down conversion is also better from a field position standpoint than a missed 40+ yard field goal.
Denver has also been getting gashed through the air and on the ground. With a weakened defense on their side, dare them to come up with a fourth down stop. Settling for bad odds on field goals just seems unwise from an analytical standpoint.
It’s really a trust issue. Right now, I trust Herbert, Keenan Allen, Austin Ekeler and really any offensive player over Badgley. The “Money Badger” cost the Chargers points in the last game at Denver. Don’t let him throw the game here.