The latest: Week 14 vs. Atlanta Falcons
If the LA Chargers are still playing around .500 football and Taylor has not been awful then he could keep his job past the bye week. Even if the Chargers are 4-5, as long as Taylor is not playing awful, then I would not be shocked if the Chargers wanted to keep the same guy under center and commit to sitting Herbert for the entire season.
However, that could easily change quickly. The Chargers have to play the Broncos, Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots out of the bye week. All it takes is for Taylor to drop all three of those games in disappointing fashion for the team to move on to Herbert.
You could make the case if the Bolts go to 4-6 and he looks bad in Denver. However, I would bet that Anthony Lynn would want him to get a start against his former team. Then, even if he loses that, I would not be surprised if Lynn has reservations against starting Herbert against a defensive mastermind like Bill Belichick, who has his way with young quarterbacks.
At that point, even if the Chargers are 4-5 at the bye, they very well could be up to 4-8 with the playoffs out of reach. Like the Denver Broncos did with Drew Lock, that could prompt the team to give the last quarter of the season to Justin Herbert to kickstart his second season.
We probably won’t go 4-0, but if he beats the Falcons in his first career start then maybe they can edge out the Raiders and Broncos to at least move to 7-9 on the season — the same record Denver finished with last year.
Now, if the Chargers are still in the thick of the playoff race then I do not think we see Herbert at all. The only way would be if the team either locks up a playoff spot or is clinched out of a playoff spot in Week 17.