LA Chargers News

Chargers 2016 stat projections: Philip Rivers


The NFL season kicks off in just over 70 days, so it’s time for another series of articles to begin here at Bolt Beat. Between now and opening day, I will be predicting the stats for each member of the San Diego Chargers. Well, at least those that I feel will be part of the final 53-man roster.

With the first in this series, I’ll start with the obvious spot—quarterback.

Rivers has started every game for the Chargers since the 2006 season, an impressive feat that has left him just over 1,500 yards away from becoming the team’s all-time passing leader.

2015 Stats

Completions: 437

Attempts: 661

Completion Percentage: 66.1

Passing Yards: 4,792

Touchdowns: 29

Interceptions: 13

QB Rating: 93.8

For an idea of how Rivers will perform in 2016, it’s essential to compare the 2015 season to the 2013 season—his lone year playing under offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt.

In 2013, Rivers put the ball in the air a career-high 661 times. That was 91 more pass attempts than he had the year before and 117 more than he did in 2013. While Rivers is the type of quarterback who wouldn’t mind a pass being called on every play, 661 pass attempts is just too many. This was a direct result of a futile rushing attack.

In 2016, I’d expect to see Rivers have stats closer to the ones he posted in 2013, mainly because Whisenhunt will get the running game going and he will favor rushing the ball more than throwing it, putting Rivers in more favorable spots and not asking the offensive line to fend off pass-rushers as often as it was asked to last season.

In 2013, Philip Rivers finished as the 5th-best QB under OC Ken Whisenhunt. He's back this year.

— Zachary Robinson (@ohuhave12) June 4, 2016

In 2013, Rivers posted a 105.5 quarterback rating with a 32-11 touchdown to interception ratio. He also completed a career-high 69.5 percent of his passes. Whisenhunt was able to help Rivers be more efficient without asking him to do as much. In turn, the passing game was much more effective.

As a result, here’s what we see for Rivers in the coming year.

2016 Stat Projections

Completions: 380

Attempts: 555

Completion Percentage: 68.4

Passing Yards: 4,510

Touchdowns: 35

Interceptions: 15

QB Rating: 102.7