Chargers vs. Jets – Looking to Sunday
By Mike Murray
At first glance this may look like a walk in the park for the Chargers. Vegas seems to agree as the Chargers are 7 point favorites. It is easy to look at the Jets and their 1-3 record and easily dismiss them. But as Treebeard would say, “do not let us be hasty.”
The NumbersThe Jets defense ranks 1st against the run, 10th against the pass and 3rd in total yards allowed, BUT they rank 17th in points allowed. The Jets offense ranks 2nd in rushing, 21st in passing and 11th in total yards overall, BUT they rank 25th in points allowed.
This team appears to be better than their record. If they practice ball security they will be a tough match-up for the Chargers.
Obviously the above stats don’t tell the whole story. When you mix in 8 turnovers (5 ints and 3 fumbles) the picture becomes a little clearer. Add in a dismal 35% red zone efficiency and the problems become even more clear. You can’t give up the ball and expect to win games. Also, as Charger fans know real well, settling for FGs instead of touchdowns will cause you to lose games when you outplay the opponent.
This team appears to be better than their record. If they practice ball security they will be a tough match-up for the Chargers.
The QuarterbacksThe Chargers have the MVP candidate on their sideline and the Jets have … well … Geno Smith. Geno has more interceptions (5) that TDs (4) this year and is sporting a 75.1 QB rating. There is a lot of talk going on about benching Geno, but Rex Ryan has been adamant that he will stick with Geno. Thank the heavens!
Chargers Keys to Victory
- Don’t Underestimate the Jets – Last week the Jaguars came out punching and caught the Chargers a little flatfooted. I am thinking I was not the only nervous fan as I watched Toby Gerhart gashing the defense. The Jets can play, we can’t take this week off.
- Take the Ball Away – The Jets have been good at giving the ball away. Don’t let them stop.
- Keep Geno Nervous – Pressure Geno into bad decisions and do not let him get comfortable. With every bad pass he will be looking to the sideline for the hook.
- Stop the Run – This might be a good week to stack the box. I would much rather have Geno throwing than Chris Ivory and his 5.5 average per carry getting touches.
- Protect the MVP – I am sure the Jets will be gunning to get Phillip’s home whites dirty. The line needs keep the gunslinger upright so he can do what he does so well.
The PredictionWith our beat up O-line and third string running back playing against a team desperate for a win I might say that this has all the markings of a trap game. But I think the Chargers D will control the Jets and Rivers will continue his hot hand in front of the home crowd. Chargers 24 – Jets 13